Trump’s 2025 Claims: Fact-Check Highlights

In a February 1, 2026 rally in Clive, Iowa, President Donald Trump claimed the U.S. trade deficit shrank by 77 % under his first year, that tariffs generated “hundreds of billions,” wages rose over $2,000, mortgage rates hit a three‑year low and crime in Memphis dropped 78 %. Bureau of Economic Analysis data shows the November 2025 trade deficit widened 95 % from October, disproving the claim. Customs and Border Protection recorded tariff receipts of about $133.5 billion from Feb 4–Dec 14, 2025, not “hundreds.” Median weekly earnings rose $45 from $1,159 to $1,204, far short of $2,000. Freddie Mac noted mortgage rates at a three‑year low, while new applications were up 28.5 % on Jan 14 and fell 8.5 % by Jan 28. Memphis police reported a 27 % decline in part‑I crime in 2025, not a 78 % drop. A December 2025 Harvard CAPS Harris poll found 80 % favor deporting criminal aliens, but only 54 % support a full-scale deportation.