Scottish leader John Swinney says SNP winning majority in May election would be green light for indyref2
Swinney says a SNP majority in May 2026 would green‑light a second independence referendum.
On 17 January 2026, First Minister John Swinney warned that if the SNP secures a majority in Scotland’s May 2026 election, it would give the Scottish government the confidence to push a second independence referendum. He cited the 2011 SNP majority that led to the 2014 referendum, where 55.3% voted ‘No’ and 44.7% voted ‘Yes’, with over 2 million votes in each camp. The SNP currently holds 60 of 129 seats in Holyrood. Swinney also noted that a 2022 UK Supreme Court ruling prevents the Scottish government from legislating an indyref2 without Westminster approval, but a new majority could change the political calculus.
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